an empirical analysis of phillips curve in china

as with many economic problems, any undisputed theoretical model has yet appeared.

然而与许多经济学问题一样，至今仍未出现毫无争议的理论模型，围绕菲利普斯曲线的实证研究方兴未艾。

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generally speaking, the philips curve tells the linearity between inflation and unemployment.

菲利普斯曲线认为失业和通货膨胀之间的存在线性关系。

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phillips curves and the prediction of china's inflation dynamics

菲利普斯曲线与中国通货膨胀动态拟合

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thus, academics began a discussion on non-linear phillips curve mechanism.

由此，学术界开始了对菲利普斯曲线的非线性作用机制的讨论。

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meanwhile, the durability of inflation makes the phillips curve move.

同时，通货膨胀的持久性特征使菲利普斯曲线随时间发生位移。

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theoretic analysis and positive investigation on philip's curve in china

中国菲利普斯曲线的理论分析和实证研究

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analysis of phillips curve and phases of business cycle in china

论中国菲利普斯曲线与经济周期阶段

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so based on the previous research of foreign countries which is concerning inflation forecasts, and combined with the phillips curve theory, the paper select the new keynesian phillips curve model ( nkpc) suiting our country.

因此，本文在国外通货膨胀预测已有研究的基础上，结合菲利普斯曲线理论，选取适合我国通货膨胀预测的新凯恩斯菲利普斯曲线模型（NKPC）。

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the new keynesian philips curve ( nkpc) is one of the mainstreams models for the current evaluation of monetary policy and economic cycle analysis.

新凯恩斯菲利普斯曲线（NKPC）是当前评价货币政策和经济周期分析的主流模型之一。

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this model consists of goods market, labor market and money market. the frame of the model is is-lm theory and price is endogenous by expectations-augmented phillips curve.

模型由商品和服务市场、劳动力市场以及货币市场构成，并以传统的IS-LM理论为框架，价格变量通过预期的菲利普斯曲线被内生化。

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our state-space model is constructed with a variable parameter hypothesis which contains the course of the natural rate of unemployment changes and the phillips curve. the time-variant curve of the natural rate of unemployment during 1992& 2004 is estimated with kalman filtering.

本文基于可变参数的假设，构建包含自然失业率变动过程和菲利普斯曲线关系的状态空间模型，应用Kalman滤波方法，估算出了1992&2004年随时间变动的自然失业率曲线。

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the phillips curve relationship and the inflation-money growth relationship which are very classical in macroeconomic study are tested by china data in this paper.

本文用中国数据检验两个经典宏观经济关系：菲利普斯曲线关系和通货膨胀&货币增长关系。

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the phillips curve is an attempt to describe the trade-off between the rate of price inflation and the rate of unemployment of labour.

菲利普斯曲线是试图描述物价上涨率和劳动力失业率之间消长关系的曲线。

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if the fed funds futures market is to be believed, the chances of another cut in the fed funds rate next week have increased decisively in the past week.

如果美国联邦基金利率期货市场值得信赖，那么过去一周，美联储在下周再次降息的几率无疑已经上升。

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a related issue is that it will be more difficult to measure the stance of fed policy: there will be no simple analogue to the fed funds rate.

一个相关问题是人们将更难以衡量美联储的政策立场：联邦基金利率没有简单的相似物。

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mr bernanke suggested, for instance, that the fed could temporarily target the interest rate it paid on excess reserves, rather than the federal funds rate.

譬如，伯南克建议美联储应该暂时从超额存款准备金的支付利率下手，而不是联邦基金利率。

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that would halve the interest penalty on discount window borrowing compared to the main interest rate, the fed funds rate, which is currently 4.5 per cent.

此举将把贴现窗口贷款与主要利率之间的息差减半。目前美国的主要利率联邦基金利率为4.5%。

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the timing of an increase in the benchmark federal-funds rate a fed-influenced rate at which banks lend to each other overnight is a centerpiece of fed discussions.

美国的基准利率是联邦基金利率，这是一种银行间隔夜拆借利率，由美联储对它实施影响。何时提高这一利率，是美联储讨论的焦点。

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the federal funds rate in the us is now 4.75 per cent, with expectations of a cut of at least 25 basis points this week.

目前美国联邦基金利率为4.75%，预计本周可能下调至少25个基点。

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high joblessness and weak inflation will keep the fed funds rate near zero at least through next year and perhaps longer, hatzius and tilton write.

哈祖斯和蒂尔顿在报告中预测，高失业率和低通胀将使美国联邦基金利率保持在零附近直至明年年底或更久。

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